The impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma is being felt across the US. But does that alter the country’s long-term economic outlook?Read article about Assessing the Economic Damage of Hurricanes
International trade is often perceived as strictly the goods that flow back and forth between countries. But true measures need to account for services in addition to physical products.Read article about Is the US Trade Deficit a Problem?
The historic storm wreaked havoc in Houston and the surrounding areas, but the economic effects will be felt across the US.Read article about Measuring Hurricane Harvey’s Economic Impact
Despite signs of a healthy US economy, worries about a downturn persist.Read article about Are Concerns About a Recession Valid or Overblown?
Jim Glassman, Commercial Banking’s Head Economist, explains why the US could benefit from foreign producers curbing their oil output.View video about Oil Production’s Effect on the Economy
Will swings in currency markets affect the Fed’s timing for normalizing interest rates?Read article about How Inflation Responds to a Declining Dollar
Learn what factors are boosting job creation in the Midwest and South.Read article about Middle America’s Economic Resurgence
While the latest advances in technology seem to be creating more efficient workplaces, they’re not necessarily lifting wages like in the past.Read article about Automation’s Effect on Wages
Coming out of the second quarter, here are five important economic developments worth noting.Read article about 5 Lessons from 2Q 2017
Jim Glassman, Commercial Banking’s Head Economist, explains why the recent trend in consumer spending habits differs from past slowdowns, and the factors that could prompt a spending surge.View video about Are Consumers Spending Again?
After hitting record highs last year, car sales have slowed in 2017. Learn about the factors likely contributing to the slowdown.Read article about What’s Slowing Auto Sales?
Inflation is rising more slowly than expected. Learn why that’s not necessarily a bad thing.Read article about Why Deflation Isn’t Always Bad
Technological advancements have changed the way people work, but productivity measurements haven’t adapted to changes in the labor force.Read article about Innovation’s Hidden Impact on the Economy
After setting its inflation target at 2 percent five years ago, the Fed appears to be weighing the benefits and risks of changing course.Read article about Will the Fed Raise Its Inflation Target?
Yield curves have historically served as barometers for monetary policy, but central banks’ quantitative easing actions appear to have distorted them in recent years.Read article about What a Flattening Yield Curve Means for the Business Cycle
Inflation appears to be bucking historical trends and defying current economic conditions.Read article about Why Isn’t Inflation Rising Faster?
Learn why wages have risen slowly despite a stronger job market.Read article about 5 Reasons Wages Have Stagnated
Although the US government owes a seemingly large amount of debt, a closer look at the country’s balance sheet reveals our true financial status.Read article about Does the US Have a Debt Problem?
Spending on home renovations is on the rise and catching up to investments in new housing construction.Read article about Home Improvement
GDP figures indicate slowing productivity, but do they measure all the appropriate data?Read article about The Productivity Puzzle
While globalization is often cited as disrupting manufacturing jobs, it's important to look at its positive impact on businesses.View video about The Benefits of Globalization
With plenty to glean from the first quarter, these are five key takeaways.Read article about 5 Lessons From 1Q 2017
Multiple measurements should be used to determine the economy’s health, rather than relying on GDP to tell the whole story.Read article about A Broader View of Economic Measures
New research from the JPMorgan Chase Institute details how extraordinary medical payments are a bigger burden for women than men.Learn more about The Gender Gap in Financial Outcomes
The current pace of GDP growth could create long-term problems for the US economy—unless investments or reforms are made.Read article about The Future Impact of Slow Growth
While the Federal Reserve has hinted at balance sheet normalization, its path to getting there hasn’t been determined.Read article about The Fed’s Path to Normalization
New research from the JPMorgan Chase Institute reveals how US monetary policy influences consumption patterns.Read article about The Consumer Spending Response to Mortgage Resets
Despite the economy’s prolonged growth, today’s workers have not returned to the labor market like they have in the past.Read article about Why Americans Aren’t Returning to the Workforce
As oil prices begin to rise again, capital investment may not be far behind.Read article about Will Oil’s Resurgence Spark Economic Growth?
How will the market react when the Federal Reserve sells its excess bonds?Read article about Finding Equilibrium in the Bond Market
Why taking an economic view of infrastructure investment might help overcome political gridlock.Read article about The Economic Impact of Infrastructure Spending
A new report from the JPMorgan Chase Institute helps local decision makers better understand how far city residents travel to shop for goods and identifies gaps in access to retail across a range of products and income groups.Learn more about Going the Distance: Big Data on Urban Access to Everyday Goods
A potential structural reform of the US corporate tax code is leading firms across all industries to re-evaluate their capital structures. Find out the key considerations for senior decision-makers.Read article about Rethinking Capital Structure Today?
What effects will continued interest rate hikes have on the economy?Read article about 6 FAQs About Rising Interest Rates
2017 looks like it's going to be a positive year for the US economy—trends include additional consumer spending, a continued rise in the federal funds rate and a drop in unemployment.View infographic about Key Economic Trends for 2017
Learn about some of the innovative ways retailers are using technology and processes to help reduce online returns.Read article about How Technology Is Helping Online Retailers Battle Returns
While reform implementation has been delayed in Washington, the markets are already anticipating new legislation benefiting the economy.Read article about Market Optimism Set to Drive Economic Growth
Fears of a looming recession may be based on historical precedent—but the unique circumstances surrounding this recovery mean that it’s likely the economy still has room to grow.Read article about Why It Isn’t Time for Another Recession
With small and midsized businesses playing such an important role in job creation, their growing optimism about the state of the economy could be good news for job seekers.Read article about Business Optimism Grows
A new report from the JPMorgan Chase Institute analyzes the growth of local consumer commerce across 15 metro areas. Find out what it means for your business.Learn more about Measuring Local Consumer Commerce
American households are on more solid footing than ever before, and a consumption boom may be underway.Read article about A Bright Outlook for Consumers
A new report from the JPMorgan Chase Institute examines the sources of expense volatility, how consumers’ expenses vary over time and how their financial behavior changes when faced with extraordinary medical payments.Learn more about Coping With Costs: Big Data on Expense Volatility and Medical Payments
What does the current lack of inflationary pressure imply for further growth at the top of the business cycle?Read article about Room to Grow in the Labor Market
Recent sentiment notwithstanding, the benefits of international trade likely outweigh its associated costs.Read article about The Benefits of Global Trade
Seven key economic trends to watch for in 2017.Learn more about 2017 Economic Outlook
In a new report on small business, the JPMorgan Chase Institute evaluates some of the employment challenges small businesses face.Learn more about The Ups and Downs of Small Business Employment
With Donald Trump’s administration unveiling more policy details, the equities markets provide a preview of the expected economic impact.Read article about Markets Anticipate Trump Administration Policies
With household net worth reaching record highs, will consumers start spending more of their growing wealth?Read article about Will Consumers Spend More and Save Less in 2017?
Get an overview of the current economic landscape and gain insight into what to expect in the year ahead.Learn more about 2017 Markets Outlook Webinar
Can the economy continue to grow without spurring inflation? The answer may be found in worker productivity.Read article about Will 2017 Bring a Productivity Surge?
What are the implications of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates?Read article about Interest Rates on the Rise
What can an alternate measurement of economic activity tell us about growth?Read article about Should We Be Looking Beyond GDP?
Seven economic trends to be thankful for this year.Read article about 7 Reasons to Be Thankful This Year
Could the right incentives bring corporate profits that are “trapped” overseas back home?Read article about Can Corporate Taxes Be Reformed?
How might President-elect Donald Trump’s policies impact the future of the US economy?Read article about What to Expect From a Trump Administration
The JPMorgan Chase Institute recently issued a new report showing that while participation in the online platform economy continues to grow, it has slowed significantly since its peak in 2014.Learn more about Has Growth Peaked for the Online Platform Economy?
In its most recent report, the JPMorgan Chase Institute measures the impact of Daylight Saving Time on consumer spending.Read the report about Shedding Light on Daylight Saving Time
Should slow GDP growth define our outlook?Read article about GDP vs. Growth
For the past few years, wage growth has been fairly slow—when can we expect wage trends to pick up?View video about When Will Wages Rise?
Are rising interest rates a threat to the health of the economy?View video about Will Rising Interest Rates Derail the Recovery?
Can Washington come together to solve the emerging entitlement crisis?Read article about Which Economic Issues Will the Next President Inherit?
Are demographic changes driving the slowdown in economic expansion?Read article about Are Demographic Changes Slowing Growth?
When evaluating the health of the economy, jobless claims are the most important signal to watch for—here's why.View video about Why Jobless Claims Matter More Than GDP
What can broader measures of unemployment tell us about the labor market’s health?Read article about Measuring the Recovery
Will interest rates stay near zero forever, or are the market’s expectations the result of a temporary distortion?Read article about Will Interest Rates Ever Recover?
Get the latest insights into the key economic themes that will be affecting the fourth quarter.Learn more about Select Slides From Guide to the Markets®
Will the rise of robotics create a permanent labor surplus as machines take over entire industries?Read article about Rise of the Machines
Is the Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary stance appropriate for the current economic climate?Read article about Is the Recession in the Rearview?
New research from the JPMorgan Chase Institute explores the financial health of small businesses in the US and reveals the cash flow challenges that they face on a monthly basis.Read the report about Cash Is King: Flows, Balances and Buffer Days
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar and falling energy prices, stalled profits may not be as bad as they seem.Read article about Why Corporate Profits Are Down
Could strong consumer spending drive growth this fall?Read article about The Return of the American Consumer
If full employment is on the horizon, why is inflation still below target?Read article about Awaiting Inflation
No period of economic expansion has ever lasted longer than 10 years. Can interest rate normalization prolong the recovery?Read article about Can the Recovery Go Into Extra Innings?
The number of Americans working past the traditional retirement age has increased sharply. How has this trend impacted the financial lives of seniors?Learn more about Past 65 and Still Working: Insights on Senior Citizens’ Financial Lives
Will businesses stockpile inventories ahead of stronger consumer spending?Read article about Are Businesses Investing in the Future?
Economic trends appear poised to create a moderate business climate in the coming year. Find out what you can expect from the economy as we move into the second half of the year and look toward 2017.Read article about Midyear Report: Economic Trends Point to Growth in 2017
Is the economy failing to meet its true potential?Read article about Which Economic Indicator Should We Believe?
Why globalization should be seen as an opportunity—not a threat.Read article about The Potential of Globalization
Is the growing workforce to blame for worsening traffic?Read article about The Good News About Bad Traffic
Will Brexit be a stumbling block for global growth?Read article about Why Brexit Won’t Stop the Global Recovery
How will Brexit affect the UK’s role in the global economy?Read article about The Impact of Brexit
Financial policies for a lower growth, more uncertain environment.Learn more about Corporate Finance for a Post-Brexit World
In 2015, gas prices in the US were 25 percent lower than they were the year prior—find out the impact that had on consumers’ spending habits.Read report about How Falling Gas Prices Fuel US Consumers
Official GDP estimates may be weak, but the economy shows real strength. Is GDP still a credible measure of economic health?Read article about Time to Dump GDP?
Our Head Economist, Jim Glassman, explores the real reasons why the economic recovery has appeared so slow—and why it's here to stay.View video about How Durable Is the Recovery?
Use this checklist to help you successfully navigate uncertainty caused by the UK referendum—and potentially capitalize on new opportunities.Learn more about Decision-Maker’s Guide to Brexit
Commercial Banking's Head Economist, Jim Glassman, reveals when we can expect to feel the positive effects of low energy costs.View video about When Will We See the Benefit of Low Oil Prices?
Commercial Banking's Head Economist, Jim Glassman, explains why fears about China's economy may be misplaced.View video about Should We Be Worried About China's Economy?
Despite steady economic growth, the bond market appears to be playing defense. What's the true meaning behind today’s low bond yields?Read article about Why Are Bond Markets So Pessimistic?
Should we be concerned that the US economy is on the verge of another recession?View video about Is a New Recession on the Horizon?
Does the tech boom have the durability to support new commercial construction, or are we about to see a replay of the first dotcom bubble?Read article about Will the Tech Boom Create a Commercial Real Estate Bubble?
Was last month’s disappointing jobs report a sign of trouble for the American economy?Read article about One Report Does Not Make a Trend
As the recovery enters its eighth year and the Federal Reserve prepares to raise rates, can prices continue to rise?Read article about Is Commercial Real Estate Past Its Prime?
The current period of economic expansion is the fourth-longest since 1850. Which begs the question: Is the US due for another recession?Read article about Are We at Risk of a New Recession?
The American economy is back on track—so why hasn’t new housing taken off? Find out why millennials may be to blame.Read article about What’s Holding Housing Back?
Business leaders entered 2016 with some concern about the health of the economy—but looking at specific indicators may help paint a fuller picture of its true strength.Read article about 3 Reasons US Businesses Should Be More Optimistic
The economy is returning to full strength. So why do many people seem to believe our best days are behind us?Read article about The Economy Is Looking Up—So Why Is America Down?
Despite strong job growth and record-low layoffs, the unemployment rate has plateaued. Is the labor market actually improving?Read article about What’s the True State of Unemployment?
As a share of personal income, wages are down. Are workers being left behind by the new economy?Read article about Will Wages Recover?
Is declining rail traffic a sign of economic weakness?Read article about Is the Economy Going Off the Rails?
If the economy is improving, why has productivity growth slowed?Read article about Has Productivity Paused?
Why do prices seem to be rising so much faster than core inflation?Read article about With Inflation, What You See Isn’t What You Get
Get the latest insights into the key economic themes that will be affecting the second quarter.Learn more about Guide to the Markets
What do two leading indicators—jobless claims and lending activity—tell us about the economy’s health?Read article about How Healthy Is the Economy, Really?
Is quantitative easing keeping bond yields artificially depressed? If so, what are the implications for future economic growth?Read article about Is QE Skewing Bond Yields?
With competing crosscurrents keeping petroleum markets volatile throughout 2016, when can we expect oil prices to recover?Read article about When Will Oil Markets Stabilize?
Do estimates of GDP miss the changing nature of work in the digital age?Read article about What GDP Doesn’t Cover
New research from the JPMorgan Chase Institute sheds light on how consumers are spending at the local level.Learn more about Consumer Spending: Is Your Community Slowing?
The latest on debt capital market accessibility and the various factors impacting investor appetite.Read article about The Current State of the Debt Capital Markets
The stock market’s slump is causing some to fear that we’re headed toward another recession. But the broader economy’s numbers tell a different story.Read article about The Consumer Revival
The JPMorgan Chase Institute’s newest report examines the impact of income volatility on Americans, as well as the growing popularity of online platforms like Uber and Airbnb.Read report about Paychecks, Paydays and the Online Platform Economy
Is recent stock market turmoil a sign of trouble looming for the recovery?Read article about Should We Worry About the Stock Market?
Should we still be concerned about the nation’s long-term debt obligations?Read article about Why Aren’t We Worrying About the Deficit?
The commercial real estate market is red hot right now—here's why it might be the right time to get in on the ground floor.View infographic about The Ascent of Commercial Real Estate
What are the implications of technologies like Uber that allow for the commercialization of previously private assets?Read article about The Implications of “Uberization”
Could raising the minimum wage actually hurt workers?Read article about The Consequences of a Higher Minimum Wage
What role have global currency markets played in oil’s prolonged slump?Read article about Is the Dollar Behind Oil’s Price Plunge?
An apparent falloff in capital investment has some worried that businesses are losing confidence in the recovery—are they?Read article about Why Aren’t Businesses Spending?
Weekly insights on the economic issues that matter most to your business.